Looking Deeper Into Kevin Correia’s Early Success

Apr 30

Looking Deeper Into Kevin Correia’s Early Success

From the perspective of a person that watches their fair share of Rockies games, the Rockies 2013 season, up to this point, has a lot in common with the season of rejuvenated Twins pitcher Kevin Correia. The Rockies record has been greeted by much skepticism from Colorado natives, while Correia’s performance has been seen as mirage of hope for many Twins fans. The Rockies and Correia have both posted unexpected numbers, but the sustainability of these numbers is the question at hand. This is where we’ll leave the Rockies at the curb and focus on Kevin Correia because, unlike the Rockies, Correia has made some adjustments that make his performance seem arguably more sustainable than random. Although, that is not to say I am entirely sold on Correia. Fantasy or Reality: Kevin Correia In 2013, Correia has posted a 2.23 ERA (compared to a 4.47 career ERA), a 3.72 K/9, and a 1.24 BB/9. While Correia’s 2013 ERA is still far from reliable, due to its small sample size, it makes sense to see whether or not Correia has received a proverbial nod from the baseball gods, and gotten “lucky” from randomness in 2013. Correia has posted a 3.30 FIP and a 4.17 xFIP. The inflated FIP is due to the fact that he has received luck from batted balls with a low .269 BABIP and a LOB% of 82.9%. The BABIP and LOB% suggest that he has received some luck this year, but the xFIP is where he has received most of his luck. Through four starts Correia has a 4.8% HR/FB ratio that is well under the league average benchmark of...

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Neil’s Weekly Fantasy Baseball Preview: April 29th – May 5th

Apr 28

Neil’s Weekly Fantasy Baseball Preview: April 29th – May 5th

Last Week, I threw down a top 10 list of all my favorite fantasy baseball goodies, but this week, I’m only going to share one goodie.  It is a cool little article from Thomas McFeeley called Rock Acts Placed in Starting Rotation and it is great stuff.  I recommend checking back to last week’s goodies list if you missed it though too. It is a beautiful day here in Nova Scotia and I’m going to take my little girl for a walk, so I’ll leave you with the goods and spare you the blabbing nonsense that has crept into this introduction in the past.  Have a great week and we’ll catch you in 7!   Weekly Fantasy Baseball Preview: Bats   Catchers Pick – Mike Napoli: His second week at the top of the charts, but Buster and I’m not talking about the little brother from Arrested Development is hot on his heels. Sleeper – Jesus Montero: He has a couple of bombs of late and it is only a matter of time before he puts it all together.  He will end the season with solid numbers.  If Carlos Ruiz is available, he returns to action today. Bust – Joe Mauer: I’m not sure who is worse right now, him or Ryan Doumit.  His recent slump comes on the heels of a good run though.  If you own Mauer you can’t drop him, hopefully you’ll learn not to draft a catcher that high for next year though.   First Base Pick – Edwin Encarnacion: 6 Round Trippers in the past 2 weeks, an excellent batting average and 12 RBIs, with 9 runs.  I miss his days with the Reds when I always drafted him and he always disappointed, those were some good times for Edwin and I. Sleeper – Ryan Howard: The old fella is still hitting the ball a long way, is in line for a solid batting average and could flirt with 100 RBIs on the season.  Right now, he looks dialed in. Bust – Adam LaRoche: Me, “Sorry Al, I’ve got to pull the trigger here on Adam LaRoche.”  Al, “No problem, there are lots of good first basemen available.”  Now I’m starting Brandon Belt, while LaRoche helps out fantasy pitchers everywhere...

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Need Holds? Grab Relievers with SP Eligibility

Apr 24

Need Holds? Grab Relievers with SP Eligibility

Did you know that 11 percent of CBSSports.com leagues use “holds” as a statistic? Adding relievers with SP eligibility is a sneaky good way to pick up additional holds. So often, the RP-eligible starting pitcher is praised and coveted, especially in points leagues, but don’t over look the opposite who can be a significant contributor to your Fantasy Baseball roster. Folks, it doesn’t stop at holds though, these pitchers can also collect wins, vulture a save and — as long as you’ve got the right ones — they’ll help in strikeouts and stabilizing your ratios. Last season, Brett Myers was the closer in Houston with starting pitching eligibility. When was the last time you got 19 saves out of a starting pitching roster spot? Thus far, in 2013, there aren’t any examples of closers with SP eligibility, but there could be at some point this season, so keep an eye on that, too. The real significance of being able to slide relievers into SP roster slots is that you’re able to maximize your roster spaces. In a league that has a “holds” category, owners are forever trying to find the perfect balance of roster spots to designate to holds candidates and saves candidates. Having a few relievers who can be slotted into an SP roster slot increases your roster’s flexibility and ultimately gives you an advantage in accumulating holds and other statistics.   2013 Relievers with SP Eligibility Here are three relievers with SP eligibility that are off to solid starts in 2013: Drew Smyly, Detroit: The Tigers lefty already has two holds, got the win last night and picked up a save earlier on in the season. He has 17 strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA, to go along with a 1.00 WHIP. He could return to the rotation at some point, but right now, he is contributing out of the bullpen just fine. Brett Cecil, Toronto: He has yet to give up an earned run on the season and his WHIP is a beautiful 0.86. He just recently clicked in the win column, but doesn’t have a save yet. His 14 strikeouts in 11.1 innings pitched go along nicely with his 2 holds. Brian Matusz, Baltimore: Annually teasing with his potential, the Orange...

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Tout Wars Transactions: Dancin’ to the Mujica

Apr 22

Tout Wars Transactions: Dancin’ to the Mujica

Once again, picking up saves on the free-agent market appears to be a popular move among the week’s Tout Wars transactions. The Mixed League has 15 teams, and there are only 30 closers to spread around, give or take an injured guy and a reliever losing his job. So since some teams have three or four closers on their teams (greedy!), and others have just one (me) or none, a recently named closer becomes quite the expensive commodity in weekly FAAB bids. This week, the Cardinals handed their ninth-inning keys to veteran reliever Edward Mujica a couple times, and he quickly became the flavor of the day for the Mixed League Tout Wars owners. St. Louis has had 85 or more wins in 11 of the past 13 seasons, and their closers get plenty of save opportunities. Mujica is a veteran, which Fantasy Baseball owners have to like, but he has played on four different teams already, which owners have to not like. But he’s got the job for now. Unfortunately, Mujica also has Mitchell Boggs and Trevor Rosenthal breathing down his neck. Rosenthal looks to be the Cardinals’ future closer, but they seem to want to slowly work him in. I bid $18 on Mujica, as I chase a second closer to add to my roster, along with Braves RP Craig Kimbrel. Paul Singman, who currently ranks fourth in saves with 12, bid $25 on Mujica, and snatched him up for $19 (Vickery bidding puts the price at $1 above the second-highest bid). A few other owners chimed in with bids also, including CBSSports.com’s Nando Di Fino ($17), Zach Steinhorn ($17), Derek VanRiper ($12) and Tim Heaney ($8). Rookie 3B Anthony Rendon also got some action, as RotoWire.com’s VanRiper bid $5 on the Nats’ hot cornerman, and he won him for $3.   Tout Wars Transactions Bids Entered: Derek Van Riper: dis RZimmerman Was: pur ARendon Was 5 pur LJimenez LAA 2 pur PPolanco Mia 2 pur ErChavez Ari 1 pur JPacheco Col 1 pur JDonaldson Oak 1 dis SSantos Tor: pur EMujica StL 12 pur WDavis KC 2 Cory Schwartz: res WPeralta Mil: pur RNolasco Mia 6 pur JGuthrie KC 4 pur WDavis KC 1 Patrick Davitt: res...

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Neil’s Weekly Fantasy Baseball Preview: April 22nd-28th

Apr 21

Neil’s Weekly Fantasy Baseball Preview: April 22nd-28th

This week, I’ve decided to do a Top Ten Fantasy Baseball Goodies List of all the best sites, articles and people who I’ve encountered thus far in 2013 and share them with you. 1. The Fantasy Rundown: You know that song about getting your picture on the cover or the Rolling Stone?  I kind of feel like that when I get my articles on the Rundown.  Goose is a Cubs fan too I think, or at least goes to watch them, so that makes the site even better.  I make a daily visit, like every other hour. 2. Razzball’s Daily Take: I haven’t missed one of Grey’s daily takes all year.  They’re as enjoyable a read as you’ll find, sometimes I don’t get all the jokes, but I’d be a little worried if I did.  The fantasy content is solid, but Random Italicized voice deserves more attention Grey! 3. Mike Baum’s Daily Recaps: Every weekday Mike recaps significant baseball performances from the night before and gives his fantasy spin.  He knows what is going on too, it is always an informed read with excellent advice.  When you check out his avatar, he has an uncanny resemblance to Dustin Pedroia too. 4. Mike Gianella & Scott Engel: For my Weekend Update column at The Fake Baseball I have been using fantasy baseball tweets each Friday and these guys are must follows.  Two weeks ago Mike was right on, witty and full of insight.  This Friday, Scott was full of useful stats and information.  Get on that twitter-ma-bob and follow these guys! 5. Slim Cliffy’s Closing Time Article: Michael Clifford is a great guy, but he has this whole 90’s music thing going with his Closer Report at Fantasy Trade 411 too and it makes me want to keep checking back.  It is great coverage and Cliffy is active on twitter too. 6. Brien Bonneville’s Daily Pitching Picks: Brien provides his daily games and streaming pitching picks the night before, so you can make the required adjustments and slot streamers into your lineup.  He has developed his own successful approach to streaming pitchers and added the daily games picks this year for you ADHD daily fantasy baseball fans. 7. The Roto Arcade: Andy, Scott...

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3 Reasons Why April 19 is a HUGE Daily Fantasy Baseball Day!

Apr 18

3 Reasons Why April 19 is a HUGE Daily Fantasy Baseball Day!

The season is a couple weeks old now, and we’re all starting to get into our grooves of daily research, add/drops, scouting and team massaging. But the Daily Fantasy Baseball sites want to let you know they think Friday, April 19, is a big frickin’ day! Several Daily Fantasy Sports sites have BIG promotions and tournaments hitting on that day. These are cheap tournaments with either great prizes at the end, or a great cause — including the victims of the Boston Marathon bombing from Monday. More on that later. Here’s a quick rundown of the ones I’m familiar with.   Qualifier for Draft Day’s 2013 Fantasy MLB Expert Challenge This one I’m especially fond of because it involves my favorite subject – ME! Friday night, for $1, you can join a qualifying tournament that will give one person entry into a single-elimination bracket tournament against 14 Fantasy Baseball writers for $1,000 in prizes. In other words, win the qualifier, gain a seat in the Fantasy MLB Expert Challenge ($60 value), which happens on Tuesday, April 23. Once you get into the tournament, it works like the Sweet 16 in a NCAA Tournament bracket. You’ll face one expert, and if you beat him, you move on to the Elite 8 to face another expert. Then you move on to the Final Four (in the money!) and you are just two more wins away from being the Top Dawg! Best part: Even if you don’t win first place in this Daily Fantasy Baseball tournament – you’ll get your $1 back if you land in the top 100! A dolla make me holla! You’ll be going up with the following writers from some great Fantasy Baseball websites: Kay Adams, SiriusXM Fantasy, NBC Sports Jake Ciely, RotoExperts.com Eric Mack, SI.com Will Carroll, Bleacher Report Jason Collette, RotoWire.com, BaseballProspectus.com David Gonos, SI.com, DavidGonos.com Dr. Roto (Mark Bloom), RotoExperts.com Chet Gresham, TheFakeBaseball.com , Bleacher Report Anita Marks, NBC Sports Radio Nick Minnix, KFFL.com Eno Sarris, FanGraphs.com Nick Raducanu, FantasyTrade411.com Ray Flowers, SiriusXM Fantasy, BaseballGuys.com Michael Beller, SI.com   Beat Matthew Berry on Draft Street For a $5 Bonus This one you’ll have to hunt down. But I got an email from DraftStreet.com challenging me...

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2015 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft – From the Future!

Apr 16

2015 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft – From the Future!

Your time machine just took you to March 20, 2015, where we’re about to hold a 2015 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft with 12 writers from across the interwebbernet. (That’s what we call it in the future.) Unfortunately, you’re only able to stick around for the first four rounds (because you have to avoid meeting your grandchildren’s grandchildren, who are on their way to this conference room, right now!) How can this mock draft from the future help you? You’ll get a sneak peek on what we think the best keepers are for the year 2013. (Remember 2013!?! That was awesome. I still can’t believe Adam Sandler won an Academy Award.) Knowing who the best players are in 2013 is pretty easy – you just think back six months to 2012. But in order to look ahead to 2015, you have to think differently. You have to calculate stats and project numbers and understand physics, depreciation – and Spanish. You have to be part cyborg. So a dozen cyborg Fantasy Baseball writers are about to conduct this mock draft for a 12-team, 5×5 Rotisserie league, with the standard lineup: 2 C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, 5 OF, CI, MI, DH and 9 pitchers. If you look back, you can look forward. Here’s our 2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft that we held in 2012. I can’t wait to see the Jets trade for Jonathan Stewart!  2015 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft Participants 1. Derek VanRiper, RotoWire.com 2. Cory Schwartz, MLB.com 3. David Gonos, DavidGonos.com 4. Nick Raducanu, FantasyTrade411.com 5. Adam Ronis, RotoExperts.com 6. Nicholas Minnix, KFFL.com 7. Nando DiFino, CBSSports.com 8. Eric Mack, SI.com 9. Paul Sporer, BaseballProspectus.com 10. Tim Heaney, KFFL.com 11. Neil Parker, 101FantasyTips.com 12. Jeff Mans, FantasyAlarm.com Now, put away your computers and enjoy this mock draft. That’s right — where we’re going, we don’t need computers! … Seriously, though, keep your computers. You do, in fact, need them in the future. 2015 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft   ROUND ONE   1.01 Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Derek VanRiper of RotoWire.com With the first pick in #Mock2015, I am selecting Bryce Harper, OF, WAS – follow here: http://t.co/Inpok7Tb8I — Derek VanRiper (@DerekVanRiper) April 16, 2013 So why Harper over Trout first overall...

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