Who’s the First Overall Pick in 2015 Fantasy Football Leagues?

May 13

Who’s the First Overall Pick in 2015 Fantasy Football Leagues?

Every offseason, we all have a difficult decision to make. We need to decide who we’d choose with the first overall pick in 2015 Fantasy Football leagues. It’s a decision that is tantamount to naming your first child and choosing what flavor blood you’d like in your transfusion. This past week, I signed on to help two different Fantasy Football magazines with their content, and I had to decide pretty early this offseason who I thought should be the first overall pick in 2015 Fantasy Football leagues. It wasn’t an easy decision, by any means. First, let’s say that unless otherwise specified on this site (and most Fantasy sites, really), we’re talking about non-PPR leagues. Someday, PPR leagues will be the default leagues – but today is not that day. Secondly, this decision can change, as it sometimes does, throughout the course of the Fantasy Football offseason. We don’t always have a consensus first overall pick. Sometimes, there’s great debate between two and even three players for the top honor. Looking back over the past few years on MyFantasyLeague.com’s Average Draft Position, we can see the tightest races between first, second and third overall pick: 2010: 1-Chris Johnson (1.81), 2-Peterson (2.47), 3-Jones-Drew (4.66) 2011: 1-Peterson (2.23), Foster (3.38), 3-Rice (5.09) 2012: 1-Foster (2.33), 2-Rodgers (3.12), 3-Rice (4.20) 2013: 1-Peterson (1.78), 2-Martin (4.22), 3-Foster (5.52) 2014: 1-McCoy (2.77), 2-Charles (3.55), 3-Peterson (4.92) It looks like the most obvious No. 1 overall pick was in 2013 with Adrian Peterson, then Peterson again in 2011. While CJ2K might have had a higher ADP, the second-place person was only 0.66 ADP spots behind him, whereas A.P. in 2011 was 1.15 ADP spots ahead of Arian Foster. I think this year, we’ll see a pretty close battle, as the running back position continues to have problems year over year, from suspensions, to injuries, to changing offenses, to the Zero-RB Theory. People just don’t respect running backs like they used to! Who’s the First Overall Pick in 2015 Fantasy Football Leagues? First, let’s go through the candidates for the top overall pick – in alphabetical order: Le’Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh: The super-sophomore out of Michigan State was the most valuable running back in PPR leagues...

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How Does Tom Brady’s Suspension for 4 Games Affect the 2015 QB Rankings?

May 12

How Does Tom Brady’s Suspension for 4 Games Affect the 2015 QB Rankings?

The NFL announced Monday that New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady’s suspension will be for four games to start the 2015 NFL season for his part in #DeflateGate — the controversy surrounding the deflated balls in the 2014 AFC Championship Game. It wasn’t as shocking as some of the NFL’s other recent announcements, including both Adrian Peterson and Ray Rice’s suspensions last season. We knew something like this was coming because of the NFL’s hard stances taken this past calendar year, the Patriots’ past transgression (SpyGate) and the fact they tried to cover up what they did. (That’s the gist, let’s not get into semantics.) In reality, the only thing that matters to Fantasy Football players is – what does Tom Brady’s suspension mean for your 2015 Fantasy Football draft? We take a quick pass over the details, and offer up a kneejerk response to it all. You know, just in case you’re drafting on May 15. Tom Brady’s Suspension: The Garoppolo Situation First, let’s talk about Brady’s expected replacement under center in Foxboro, sophomore quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. Jack Delaney of SoCalledFantasyExperts.com did a great job breaking down Garoppolo’s profile for the coming season, by looking back at his college numbers at Eastern Illinois and his short 27-pass NFL career. He likes Garoppolo as a Fantasy backup to start the season, and that makes sense to me, as we saw what Matt Cassel did in Brady’s stead back in 2008. How Does Brady’s Suspension Affect the 2015 QB Rankings? I had Brady’s suspension baked into my initial go-round on the 2015 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings, but I didn’t expect four games. I had Brady ranked fourth behind the big three of Andrew Luck, Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning. Drew Brees lost a lot this offseason, especially superstar tight end Jimmy Graham, as well as third-year wideout Kenny Stills. Brees was the only one I considered for the fourth spot above Brady, but I didn’t like it. First off, the suspension is already being appealed, and I’ll bet deflated balls to practice session video cameras that the suspension gets appealed down to just two games. Secondly, remember what happened the last time the NFL effed with the Patriots? They went...

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Fantasy Football 2015 Quarterback Rankings: Deeper Than Ever

May 10

Fantasy Football 2015 Quarterback Rankings: Deeper Than Ever

The 2015 Quarterback rankings look a little different this season than in years past, but your Fantasy Football league won’t suddenly see more quarterbacks taken in the early rounds. For the most part, it’s business as usual, just with some names swapped out for others. Last summer, just before the 2014 NFL season started, I made a bold prediction on FantasySports.About.com that Andrew Luck would bump out Peyton Manning among the top three Fantasy Football quarterbacks in 2014. It came true! … Let’s not bring up the other 15-plus predictions I made that didn’t come true! Interestingly, both Manning and Drew Brees come into the 2015 Fantasy season a full tier down from Luck and Aaron Rodgers. Brees and Manning were the top two Fantasy scorers among quarterbacks back in 2013, but their fates for 2015 have changed a bit. One trend has definitely continued, as we’ve seen passing games continue to climb over the past few seasons. From 2011 to 2013, there was an average of 12 Fantasy quarterbacks to score 300 or more Fantasy points. But in 2014, we saw 17 quarterbacks score that many Fantasy points, further diluting the power of the best of the bunch. If you can wait until the latter rounds to get a QB that’s going to score 325-plus Fantasy points, then why bother grabbing one in the fifth or sixth rounds? Fantasy Football 2015 Quarterback Rankings These rankings are for standard Fantasy Football leagues that score four points for passing touchdowns and deduct one point for an interception. 1. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis: He lost Reggie Wayne, who was past his prime, but he added Andre Johnson, rookie speedster Phillip Dorsett, and a solid pass-catching tailback in veteran Frank Gore. 2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay: In his past three full NFL seasons, Rodgers has averaged 41 passing touchdowns. 3. Peyton Manning, Denver: He loses an over-the-hill Wes Welker, but he also loses red-zone threat TE Julius Thomas. He slowed down late last season, but he’s still a 300/3-TD game kinda guy. 4. Drew Brees, New Orleans: While both Luck and Manning lost key cogs, neither of them lost anyone the caliber of TE Jimmy Graham. (Kenny Stills is in Miami now, too.)...

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2015 NFL Draft Fantasy Football Perspective: Round 1

May 01

2015 NFL Draft Fantasy Football Perspective: Round 1

I’m watching the 2015 NFL Draft, as any red-blooded American Fantasy Football player should be, and I decided to do up a quick reaction to some of the offensive draft picks. While I’m not ready to lock in these reactions as gold for the rest of the draft season, I look at these reactions as a starting point for the rest of my rankings – which I’ll actually be working on for a magazine on Sunday. As we saw last year, rookies can certainly make a big impact in Fantasy Football, although, most of last year’s action came from the wide receiver corps almost exclusively. While we might have a few break out from this WR class, there’s no chance it comes close to the production of Odell Beckham Jr., Kelvin Benjamin, Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Jordan Matthews, Sammy Watkins – and a few others! 2015 NFL Draft Fantasy Football Perspective I’m just sharing my views on the offensive skill position picks, and not how an offensive lineman will help the running game, or how this linebacker will make this Fantasy DST a top-15 choice. 1.01 Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa Bay While he’s certainly not draftable, outside of 2-QB leagues, Winston will definitely be a good bye-week replacement in the middle of the season. The talent around him (three 6-foot-5 pass catchers) means he can throw jumpballs all day long, and the Buccaneers will likely be passing a lot again this season. Positive Fantasy Effect: Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, Austin Seferian-Jenkins Negative Fantasy Effect: Mike Glennon, Publix Seafood Dept. in Tampa-St. Pete area The Buccaneers take @Jaboowins No. 1 overall … not a surprise. Not much re-draft fantasy value. #FSUQBs — Michael Fabiano (@Michael_Fabiano) May 1, 2015 1.02 Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee The Titans already had Mettenberger, who was coming back from a knee injury last season, but the Titans felt Mariota was a franchise QB they couldn’t pass up. Either way, Mariota needs some playing time – and then some help from a very inconsistent receiving corps last season – before he’s a Fantasy option. Also, since Bishop Sankey can’t pass protect, a mobile Mariota is his dream come true. Positive Fantasy Effect: Kendall Wright, Justin Hunter, Delanie...

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