There is a special class of Fantasy Baseball player who we like to call “post-hype players.” Basically, if a prospect has lots of buzz around them -– think Colby Rasmus -– and they have a dismal start to their major league career, there is a definite tendency to write them off.
However, in many instances, young players may take several seasons to become serviceable Fantasy players — think Carlos Gomez –- but when they do, they represent both a success story and an actionable Fantasy asset.
This column looks at some recent surging players and offers buy or sell advice, with a special emphasis on those post-hype players.
Probably the hottest hitter in May is one of your classic post-hype players. I added him on speculation after he was cut in my keeper league, and the rewards have been considerable. If Dom Brown is available in your league, he is a must add.
Should you trade for him? — He is simply too hot right now. The time to buy Brown has passed. If you had him, you benefited. If you didn’t …
Should you trade him? — I doubt his value (or, indeed, any post-hyper) could have a higher value than Brown has right now. Having said that, very few — or all but the most naive — would actually expect his production to stay as insanely high as it has been.
Moreover, I like Brown for the rest of season (ROS). His average against left-handers is great, his slugging percentage is strong — and he is only 25. Unless you can get a blue-chip return (top 15 hitter), then he’s a hold. I believe he will finish the season as a top-25 hitter, at least.
Moreland didn’t have a ton of hype around him, but he has rounded into being one of the best overall first basemen in the game in the last 30 days. Word is obviously out on him –- 61 percent owned in Yahoo! Leagues –- but if you are in one of the leagues where he is available, he is a must add.
Should you trade him? — Absolutely. He has put together terrific power and AVG numbers this season and the buzz around him is good. If you could cash him out for an established, premier hitter, now is the time. His AVG can essentially only regress and it’s that which will make him appealing to other managers. Shop him for those bargains –- established names who are struggling.
Should you trade for him? — Moreland represents a classic buy-high. I expect his power numbers to stay strong, and he could push 30 HR/90 RBI. But, as I argued before, I see no reason to expect his AVG to stay where it presently is -– a very solid .285 as of this writing. Having said that, he hits in a very good lineup, which I think will only get better if Jurickson Profar emerges. (Spoiler alert: He will emerge.) The ship has largely sailed on buying Moreland, though.
So basically, the word is out on Moreland and Brown. Who are some players who could join them as significant producers in the coming weeks and months? Read on…
He would be a top 10 catcher for sure if he had not gotten himself suspended. With that out of the way, he will soon return to the top of his position.
Then pray for an injury!
It’s a matter of time and you want to get in on the ground floor.
When he returns, perhaps he can finally live up to the potential of batting in a potent lineup.
When, not if, he cracks the lineup, he has a chance to become a force very quickly. Act now and stash if you can.
Tons of RBI potential when he comes back. Don’t let him sneak up on you! Add to your DL now!
Huge speculation here, but his recent play has been a throwback. Post-ROY sleeper? Maybe.
Hopefully, you can get in on some of these post-hype players. Next time, we’ll talk about post-hype pitchers and some likely candidates to blow up in the second half!
Follow John on Twitter @MullinSports!
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This guy has zero clue what a post-hype sleeper is. Puig mad his debut yesterday and is still extremely hyped, Zunino hasn't even played in the bigs yet, and Ryan Ludwick has several great seasons already under his belt. The only post-hype guys on here are Brown, Moreland, and Coghlan.
I think something got mixed up in the editorial stage. I only meant Moreland and Brown to be labeled post-hype players, which of course if you look at the list should be obvious. Even Coglan I don't think fits that bill as he had quite a lot of success. Sorry for the confusion!
Yep, that was entirely my fault. I edited, banged out a new, snappier headline -- and screwed it all up! Sorry about that John. And my apologies to those that got confused by it.
The other players listed were my projections to be growth players based on low ownership/high upside.
Unforgivable, David. My resignation letter from this high-paying, high pressure career of fantasy baseball blogging is in the mail.