Welcome to the Week 4 of the NFL season and ProFootballMatchups.com picks of the week. This is where they’ll post their analysis of what they think are the best Week 4 NFL bets, helping you decide between the tough bets and the easy ones. Each week, they’ll post the top games of the week, usually along with their best Underdog Bet of the Week. Finally, you’ll also get their Teaser of the Week.
Best Week 4 NFL Bets
Games of the Week: Patriots at Bills
The Pats enter week 4 in unfamiliar territory, losing two in a row and sporting a 1-2 record for the season. They have struggled at times protecting Tom Brady, which has led the offense to falter, but overall they are still a well-balanced offense that is averaging 27.3 points and 391 total yards, with 281.3 coming from the passing attack.
The defense which was upgraded during the draft has played a more physical brand of football and has been stout against the run, only allowing 82 yards on the ground. The passing defense has not been as efficient giving up over 260 yards and in total the defense is allowing 21.3 points and 344 yards per game.
The Bills are on the other side of the coin, winning their last two games heading into this matchup. The offense has been impressive averaging 29 points and 371 yards per game. The rushing attack is among the best in the NFL averaging 178 yards a game, but may struggle since C.J. Spiller injured his shoulder last week and Fred Jackson is not completely healed from an injury suffered in week 1. The defense has played better since the Week 1 fiasco, but is not putting enough pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The defense is allowing 248.3 passing yards per game and 26.3 points and 348.7 total yards.
The Pats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the AFC and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against the Bills. The Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against the AFC East.
ATS Prediction: Pats -4
Giants at Eagles (-2)
The Giants have an extra few days of preparation heading into this game after whooping up on the Panthers on national TV, last Thursday. The offense was missing two starters, but the Giants are so deep other players stepped up and they didn’t miss a beat. The offense led by the arm of Eli Manning is averaging 31.3 points and 426 total yards of offense. The passing attack has been one of the best in the NFL averaging 325.7 yards per game. The defense continues to remain solid only allowing 21.7 points and 355.7 total yards of offense. The secondary has been average giving up an average of 261.7 yards per game.
The Eagles are coming off a tough loss in Arizona, where they moved the ball at will, but were unable to protect the football. The offense is only averaging 15.7 points per game, which is one of the worst in the NFL. Even though they don’t score alot of points, they sure can move the ball averaging 416.7 total yards and 135 rushing yards per game, but because of the turnovers, they don’t point up a ton of points. The defense has been one of the better units in the NFL only allowing 22 points and 275.5 total yards with 172.7 yards coming from the passing game.
The Giants are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against the Eagles and the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC East.
ATS Prediction: Eagles -1
Tzer of the Week
The Cardinals have been impressive in 2012 beating the Patriots in their home opener and then heading home the following week to dominate a very good Eagles team. Even though they have questions at the quarterback position, they should handle the Dolphins and rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill and should definitely win the game, which is why I like them at -.5.
The Packers are seething after a horrible call on the last play of the game cost them a win in Seattle on Monday night. The Packers have been one of the better teams at home over the last few years and are facing a Saints team that stop anyone’s offense. I like the over in this game, but I also expect the Packers will be focused on getting back in the win column following their upsetting loss last week.
ATS Prediction: ARI -.5, GB PK
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