I wrote an article two days ago about research that I did on statistics that have the highest correlation to overall value for Fantasy Basketball. In that article I was able to conclude that minutes played and, to a lesser extent, turnovers have the highest correlation with overall value, and I came up with a …
My initial thought was to begin this article with the traditional sob story that every last place, self-absorbed fantasy owner sings; “Everyone on my team got hurt, all my stars underperformed, and I played every team in my league on their best week.” While all of this may be true for my 12 team head-to-head …
As I watch Oklahoma face off against Clemson in the Russel Athletic Bowl (it feels wrong to say the name of a sponsor), and face off is a misnomer in this case due to the lack of competitiveness so far, I see Cole Stoudt, the Clemson quarterback, complete wide receiver screens ad nauseam against the Oklahoma …
Doug Martin, Vincent Jackson, and Mike Evans: these are the players on the Buccaneers that most Fantasy owners thought they could count on, but what did most owners not count on? Josh McCown. McCown was bad in his first regular season start with the Buccaneers. So bad that the two-year, $10 million dollar contract he …
Does Troy Tulowitzki suffer without Carlos Gonzalez in the lineup? Several weeks ago, in the same way my last article on rookie first and second half splits was inspired, my attention was alerted when a podcast personality contrived that Troy Tulowitzki, before his most recent bout with the injury bug, had preformed poorly because Carlos …
Do rookies perform worse after the All-Star break? My claim over this statement is nonexistent, while the original thought of its occurrence was brought to my attention by Adam Aizer on the CBS Fantasy Baseball Podcast. My judgment dissuaded, I thought that it would be worth the effort to look into the validity of the …
Collin McHugh has given us many reasons to believe that he is a fundamentally different pitcher than he was in the first two years of his career, but there is one reason that explains why McHugh has performed so well this year and suggests, “Don't pick up Collin McHugh.” The curveball has been a source …
A player turns a good game into a good week, then that week into a good month. Then, before you know it, the player becomes relevant, not only in your AL/NL only twelve team league, or any other deep league for that matter, but in every league you are in. The player has become one …
Do more team wins mean more save opportunities? Before I decided to answer this question, I assumed that they didn’t. My Guess In my head I had a cognitive bias of closers in the 2,000s that racked up saves, but were on teams that were never in contention; In 2000 Antonio Alfonseca (i.e. …
Because it takes it takes 910 at bats for batting average to stabilize, it is not very helpful to look at the small sample of at bats a player has had in 2014 (as the video below will show). When you try to decide whether or not to by into a player's early season slump …
The Stanford Prison experiment was a 1971 psychological study in which 24 male Stanford students were divided into two groups—12 guards and 12 inmates—in the Stanford psychology building and was funded by the US Office of Naval Research as an investigation into the causes of conflict between military guards and prisoners. The experiment was supposed to …
When I graduated high school, I went to Regis University in Denver, CO, for one year, because I thought I wanted to play baseball. After two weeks I not only knew that I did not want to play baseball, but that the title of “University” was a misnomer for what Regis really is: 13th grade. …
(WARNING: THERE ARE GIFS AT THE END) Real estate, knick-knacks at a garage sale, and players, in the sense of professional sports, can be undervalued. For instance, in Boomerang: Travels in the New Third World, Michael Lewis interviews Kyle Bass, a hedge fund manager who made a fortune shorting subprime mortgage assets, who recently bought …
I struggle to find topics to write about. Because, for me, if I don’t think a topic is interesting to write about, I don’t know how it could possibly be of interest for anyone to read. The past two weeks I’ve started and deleted several excel and word documents; I get to the point where …
The MLB Hall of Fame results came out last week, and I thought it would be interesting to take a look at Fantasy Baseball from a historical perspective. So I looked at the top Fantasy Baseball seasons of all time, and thought about how those seasons give us a glimpse into larger offensive trends and …
This post will wrap up our series on 2014 Fantasy Baseball busts. We’ve looked at outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and now we will examine closer busts. As a supplement to this discussion we will look at the velocity loss leaders from 2013 at the end of the post. More so than any other position in …
We looked at outfield busts two weeks ago and infield busts lasts week, while our attention will turn to the biggest starting pitching busts of 2014 this week; we’ll look at closer busts next week. (If you read the previous two articles you can skip the next two paragraphs, which describe how we define a …
As a continuation of our 2014 series on Fantasy Baseball busts, we will look at infield busts this week. We looked at outfield busts last week, and, as a reminder, we will look at closers next week, and starting pitching the week after that. (If you read the previous article you can skip the next …
For the next four weeks we will look at potential bust candidates for the 2014 Fantasy Baseball season. Our attention will be focused on outfield busts this week and infield busts next week. To ascribe an analytic value to how we quantify a bust we will look at a player’s 2013 roto value and a …
Baseball season feels like a lifetime away, and as Fantasy Football season ends, and the cold winter months frost our hearts, the promise of another Fantasy Baseball season is left to warm our bodies with anticipation and hope. To help nurture that fire inside all of us, I thought it would be beneficial to look …
This article will look at the implications of the new SportVU stats that the NBA has released to the public, and will apply the limited data we have from SportVU to look at the sustainability of assist totals for players this year (SportVU data in this post has been taken up to 11/19). First off, …
This post will look at the rest-of-season strength of schedule for all Fantasy Football positions. Last week we looked at the strength of schedule for the running back position, and it is time to finish off the work, pull out the spreadsheets, and come up with the calculations for the other five Fantasy Football positions. …
For the purpose of player evaluation, trade candidates, and rest of season rankings, I thought I would look at the team rest-of-season strength of schedule. For this article in particular, we will focus on running backs, but I will post more articles in the near future about other positions. How did I do it? Easy: …
In this post we will discuss Fantasy Basketball projections for the 2013-14 season. As I discussed in my last post about Fantasy Baseball ranking based off of the 2014 Steamer projections, I love rankings based off of quantitative analysis. Rankings that take a statistical approach to value ascription lack the histrionic overtones and biases that …
The best way that I have found to come up with Fantasy Baseball projections is to take an existing statistical projection, and translate those numbers into fantasy value. Projections that use statistical models free players from fantasy analysts who have biases against players; “I’ll never own player X again after last year”; “He won’t be …
Mike Podhorzer has looked into the relationship of a batters’ average fly ball distance as it relates to their HR/FB ratio, and has found results that will allow others to more accurately project a hitter’s home run totals from year to year. This got me thinking. Which can be a good or bad, but in …
Since the major league season is over on Sunday, that means the end of fantasy baseball, and the end of this source for the best streaming options. I will write a wrap-up column that will be posted next monday that will summarize my performance over the last two weeks. But, there will also be many …
If you read any of the other articles in the streaming series, you can skip the first section of this post and start to read where I go over the best streaming options. From now till the end of the season, I will go over the best streaming options available for the upcoming week; Monday’s post will have …
If you read any of the other articles in the streaming series, you can skip the first section of this post and start to read where I go over the best streaming options. From now till the end of the season, I will go over the best streaming options available for the upcoming week; Monday’s post will have …
If you read any of the other articles in the streaming series, you can skip the first section of this post and start to read where I go over the best streaming options. From now till the end of the season, I will go over the best streaming options available for the upcoming week; Monday’s post will have …
In Fantasy Football, points are important, but points relative to the position a player plays is more important. Colin Kaepernick scored 30 points last week and was the second highest second highest scorer in fantasy football, but was that performance impressive when the top twelve quarterbacks—the amount of quarterbacks played in a standard league—averaged 25 …
If you read any of the other articles in the streaming series, you can skip the first section of this post and start to read where I go over the best streaming options. From now till the end of the season, I will go over the best streaming options available for the upcoming week; Monday’s post …
If you read the first or second column from last week, you can skip the first section of this post and start to read where I go over the best streaming options. From now till the end of the season, I will go over the best streaming options available for the upcoming week; Monday’s post …
If you read the first column, you can skip the first section and start to read where I go over the best streaming options. From now till the end of the season, I will go over the best streaming options available for the upcoming week; Monday’s post will have the best options for Monday through …
For all of the Fantasy Baseball players that are in daily roto or head-to-head leagues, and need a few more strong outings to take home the championship in their leagues, this post is for you. From now till the end of the season, I will go over the best streaming options available for the upcoming …
I mentioned on my last post that I listen to a lot of podcasts. Two days ago, I listened to a recent edition of the BS Report, in which, Bill Simmons interviewed Brian Kenny of MLB TV. Although, I do not necessarily agree with the binary tone that Kenny takes towards certain issues, I understand …
I listen to a lot of podcasts. I listen to these podcasts to pass the time and fill my head with information while I go through the monotony of everyday tasks: cooking, cleaning, driving, and doing the dishes. For me listening to podcasts is a passive activity, which allows me to gain the mental stimulation one …
